The watch includes almost all of eastern Oklahoma. It certainly won’t rain every second or every minute, but I would be prepared to dodge a shower or storm at any time.
Forecasters say the greatest threat will be along and north of Interstate 44. More isolated severe storms will also be possible from central Kansas into western Oklahoma.
Prob Severe scans storms every two minutes and determines which cells are likely to result in hail, damaging winds or tornadoes.
Friday starts wet, but we expect to see some sun by the late afternoon as we keep the umbrellas handy through 2 p.m.to end the work and school week.
NOAA’s GOES16 weather satellite spotted these severe storms moving across Kansas before they moved into Oklahoma. The watch was extended Wednesday afternoon to include the Oklahoma City metro and Stillwater. For Kansas, Nebraska and Iowa, wind profiles will favor supercells – with large hail and a few tornadoes. Currently, Omaha is in the enhanced risk area. A slight risk is in effect from Northeast Ohio to Southern New England. This will pull a cold front through NE Ohio late Friday.
Tornadoes, damaging wind, large hail, and flash flooding are all possibilities with this storm system. “However, the potential for a brief tornado will exist”.
The watch goes until 11 p.m. and this will likely be the first wave of a few rounds of strong thunderstorms over the next 36 hours. Strong to severe storms are not expected Saturday morning. “Hail up to 1” in diameter and up to 60 miles per hour wind gusts will be possible. Chance of precipitation is 70 percent. “Another 1” of rainfall is possible.
Tuesday night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
The next chance of showers and thunderstorms will come Tuesday night into Wednesday as an upper-level shortwave sweeps across the plains.
Today: Mostly to partly cloudy, breezy, warm. The wind continues, but it becomes west/northwest tonight as drier air surges in. Cooler for Monday, high in the mid 60’s. Partly sunny, with a high near 73.